Page 23 - IB Jan 2018
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Budget                                                                  Economy        IMF wants Fiji to free up land P25
                                                                                 Rugby        Rugby player in kidney crisis P33

               FISHERIRES     AVIATION
        PNG spending cutback






        More money for                     exchange imbalance.                about the current bleak fiscal outlook im-
                                                                               Prime Minister Peter O’Neill was upbeat
                                            Deloitte said in pillar one the PNG Gov-
        agriculture, SMEs                  ernment is not introducing new taxes,   proving. O’Neill said the global upswing
                                           though some existing taxes are being
                                                                              in commodity prices boded well for his
                                           adjusted. There is instead increased at-
                                                                              country.
                                                                               “Oil is now trading close to sixty dol-
        in 2018 Budget                     tention  on  improved  tax  compliance   lars per barrel; gold and copper are also
                                           through the Internal Revenue Commis-
                                           sion, with a particular focus on improved   increasing; coffee and all the other com-
                                           employer registrations targeting personal   modity prices are also improving. So what
                                           and corporate income (forming the largest   we expect is a very stable environment
                                           component of tax revenue at 60 per cent).   over the coming years,” said O’Neill.
                                           Tax reform is being rolled out in line with   He said his government was looking to
                                           the government’s medium term revenue   re-organise the structure of PNG’s debt
                                           strategy.                          and improve revenue collections.
                 by Sam Vulum               Deloitte said there is also a strong focus   Meanwhile, a World Bank report said
                                           on recovering dividends from State Owned   a rebounding agricultural sector and im-
        STRUGGLING with cash flow problems   Enterprises (SOEs), with fisheries ex-  proving efficiency in liquefied natural gas
        and high debt burden, the Papua New   pected to contribute the largest component.  (LNG) production are recent highlights of
        Guinea  government  through  its  2018   Deloitte said in pillar two, the govern-  the PNG economy.
        budget has announced new fiscal strategy   ment has realised that total expenditure   Nonetheless, growth slowed in 2017
        to stabilise debts and recover from revenue   exceeded forecast in the 2017 Supplemen-  owing to necessary public spending ad-
        collapse.                          tary Budget by a considerable 14.5%. Ac-  justments, coupled with foreign currency
         The government wants to shift its debt   cordingly, the 2018 Budget seeks to limit   shortages.
        from commercial to concessional loans to   and reverse the upward trend in recurrent   The Papua New Guinea Economic Up-
        reduce its high interest costs and hopes   expenditure by primarily halting the rise   date, the first in a new twice-yearly series
        the shift will help solve PNG’s longstand-  in personnel emoluments expenditure and   from the World Bank, was launched in De-
        ing problems with foreign exchange. It   placing stricter controls on utilities and   cember in Port Moresby and aims to pro-
        has again promised to pursue a US dollar   office rentals.            vide ongoing analysis of PNG’s economy.
        sovereign bond issue, after difficulty find-  “As stated in the 2018 Budget economic   “The government has initiated efforts
        ing any market appetite over the previous   and development policy document, im-  to stimulate the economy and inclusive
        two years.                         proved public sector efficiency is sought   growth through its 100-Day Economic
         It has slashed spending over the previ-  by amalgamating government agencies;   Stimulus  Plan.  The  2018  Budget,  in
        ous two years, but is now introducing a 1   and  reviewing the structure of the Ku-  conjunction with the medium-term fiscal
        billion kina (US$311m) “stimulus pack-  mul Consolidation framework (covering   and revenue strategies, provides further
        age” with a US$31 million State Equity   Kumul  Consolidated  Holdings,  Kumul   evidence of the government’s intent to
        Fund to partner with private investors on   Mineral Holdings and Kumul Petroleum   strengthen the fiscal framework,” said
        agriculture projects.              Holdings) to ensure more prudent fiscal   Michel Kerf, Country Director for Papua
         These measures it announced in the   management.                     New Guinea & Pacific Islands.
        budget which it hopes to achieve under   “Additionally, Treasurer Charles Abel   “Commitments to reinforce resilience
        three pillars.                     when handing down the budget said in   to fluctuating commodity prices by dis-
         As highlighted in a budget analysis by   relation to the State Owned Enterprises   entangling government spending from
        Deloitte, the 2018 Budget is ambitious and   (SOE)  that  there  is  legislation  before   volatile resource revenues, and plans to
        looks to implement a medium term fiscal   parliament seeking to regularly capture   establish the sovereign wealth fund are
        strategy, centred on the following pillars:   and sweep funds held by the SOE’s into   particularly encouraging. Strong efforts
        • Halting the declining revenue in the short   consolidated government revenue and   must be made to contain wage bill costs,
        term, with a trend to higher sustained   then manage these funds centrally,” De-  which are straining funds available for key
        income over the medium term;       loitte said.                       public services,” he added.
        • Reducing recurrent expenditure, rede-  Deloitte said under the third pillar, the   He said government revenue in the first
        ploying those funds for productive capital   2018  Budget  aims  to  minimise  funds   half of 2017 grew 6.7 percent, less than
        expenditure (with a focus on diversifica-  held with commercial banks that are then   the 15 per cent expected in the budget,
        tion of the economic base, especially into   invested in government inscribed stock;   while  spending  has  been  higher  than
        agriculture) and improve efficiency of the   raise a US dollar bond and generally shift   planned, necessitating the cuts to capital
        public sector; and                 the mix of debt from domestic to foreign   spending announced in the 2017 Supple-
        • Improving debt management, cost of   currency; and mandate the use of local   mentary Budget..
        financing, and extinguishing the foreign   currency.                   r vulumsam@gmail.com



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