Page 11 - IB January 2022
P. 11

Outlook                                                                                               Outlook




             well as COVID-19 numbers and deaths, given PNG’s low vac-  Minister for Women, Marise Payne and aims to provide “direct
             cination rates.                                      advice to Forum Leaders on gender equality issues in the Pa-
               PNG’s election is also likely to slow discussions over self-  cific.” It will feature women leaders from Pacific parliaments.
             determination/independence with Bougainville authorities,   The Pacific Islands Forum’s gender agenda this year in-
             which will frustrate President Ishmael Toroama.      cludes revitalisation of the decade-old Pacific Leaders Gender
               Meanwhile the territories of American Samoa, Guam and   Equality Declaration, signed in the Cook Islands when current
             the Commonwealth of Northern Mariana Islands will hold    Secretary General Henry Puna hosted the  meeting as Prime
             elections in November this year.                     Minister. The Gender Declaration was recently reviewed and
               Throughout the year, the three French Pacific dependencies   the FWLM is expected to discuss this review and present new
             of New Caledonia, French Polynesia and Wallis and Futuna   ideas for improving the status of Pacific women.
             will be focused on elections, regional ties and the ongoing   Australia has heavily invested in this work already. It has
             pandemic.                                            spent AUD$320 million (US$229 million) through the Pacific
               In New Caledonia, following December’s third referendum   Women  program, managed by Australian company Cardno. A
             on self-determination, supporters and opponents of indepen-  decade later, the program has wrapped up, with a new fund-
             dence await the results of looming French elections, before   ing tranch of AUD$270 million announced, to be managed this
             negotiations can determine a new political status after the   time by the Pacific Community (SPC).
             Noumea Accord. In Wallis and Futuna, the Territorial Assembly   A worthy investment by Australia, but questions arise on
             will go to elections in March, with 20 councillors elected from   what has the region gained? Not only does the Pacific region
             five constituencies (Hififo, Hahake, Mua, Alo, Sigave). This   have the lowest percentage of women as leaders of any region
             vote come just before French President Emmanuel Macron   in the world, it has twice the global average of violence
             seeks re-election in April.                          against women, according to UN Women. What value will
               Across the region, local political parties are also campaign-  another meeting bring, given it comes on the heels of the
             ing for seats in the French National Assembly in Paris, during   SPC-organised Women’s Triennial? Maybe getting Pacific lead-
             June’s legislative elections. The formation of a new French   ers’ endorsement or greater ownership of the Pacific Women
             government in mid-2022 will re-align France’s Indo-Pacific   Lead Program will make a difference?
             policies after the AUKUS snub, and extend engagement with   Meanwhile the in-person Forum Leaders Retreat scheduled
             the Forum’s ‘Blue Pacific’ agenda. Holding the Presidency of   to be hosted by Fiji’s Prime Minister and PIF Chair Voreqe
             the European Union Council until June, Paris will press EU and   Bainimarama, has now been deferred to April.
             French agendas through funding through the SPC (the French   After two years of Zoom meetings, a face-to-face event
             Senate has just appointed a fact finding mission to investigate   should be welcomed, given the critical and sensitive issues
             “the exploration, protection and exploitation of the seabed”).  facing the region. However these meeting plans continue to
               Still facing the health and economic effects of the Covid-19   be thwarted by a third wave of COVID-19 transmissions in Fiji
             pandemic, the governments of all three French dependencies   and Bainimarama’s health problems;  he underwent cardiac
             are facing public backlash over the introduction of French   surgery earlier this month and is not expected back at work
             vaccine mandates, which require Covid-19 vaccination to   until the end of February.
             access public facilities, cafes and restaurants. The ongoing   The most critical agenda item on the Forum agenda remains
             disruption of the pandemic, especially to tourism, travel and   the membership status of its Micronesian members after
             supply chains, continues to cause economic hardship in the   they vowed to withdraw from the group by March.  There has
             community.                                           been domestic pressure on some leaders to pull back from
               In the Solomon Islands, troubled by riots in December 2021,   their threat. While Palau is adamant it will pull out, Marshall
             constitutional changes to strengthen decentralised provincial   Islands is still  discussing its options internally. FSM, Kiribati,
             governments are expected to be high on the political agenda,   and Nauru are yet to show a change of heart despite the
             although the first cases of community transmission will be a   Forum’s attempts at mediation.
             necessary priority (see page 13).                      Also on the leaders’ agenda will be the 2050 Strategy for
                                                                  the Blue Pacific Continent and linked to this, a review of
               Regionalism: unity and the gender agenda           the regional architecture. COP26 outcomes and the useful-
               The inaugural Pacific Islands Forum Women Leaders Meet-  ness and practicality of regional climate change action plans
             ing (FWLM) is the first regional event this year, scheduled for   and advisories on natural disasters, (given the shortcomings
             February ahead of the Forum Leaders meeting in April, with   of warning systems for the Tongan volcanic eruption and its
             a mandate “to ensure an enduring focus on the critical role   aftermath), is something regional citizens will expect leaders
             gender has on issues in the Pacific.”                to urgently address.
               Women continue to be underrepresented in most Pacific
             parliaments, and the region has just two women heading gov-  editor@islandsbusiness.com
             ernments; Samoa’s Fiame Naomi Mata’afa and New Zealand’s
             Jacinda Ardern.                                      Additional reporting: Nic Maclellan
               The FWLM is an initiative of Australia’s Foreign Minister and
                                                                                                  Islands Business, January 2022  11
   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   13   14   15   16