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New Caledonia

































                     WHAT COMES NEXT IN NEW

                                         CALEDONIA?



        By Nic Maclellan                                    ment in mid-2022, before entering negotiations on the future
                                                            political status of New Caledonia.
          New Caledonia’s third referendum on self-determination
        under the Noumea Accord has returned an overwhelming   Drop in turnout
        majority against independence: 96.5% of people who went to   In a rare display of unity, the independence movement
        the polls voted No to independence, with only 3.5% voting Yes   formed a “Strategic Committee on Non-participation” (CSI-NP)
        for an independent and sovereign nation. However, this bald   as a coalition of political parties, trade unions and customary
        figure is not a true representation of sentiment amongst New   leaders. Even though voting is not compulsory in France, both
        Caledonians, with tens of thousands of indigenous Kanak and   previous referendums had seen turnout greater than 80%, so
        other independence supporters refusing to participate in the   the call on independence supporters to stay away from the
        vote on 12 December.                                poll was be an indication of attitudes to independence. In
          Turnout for the referendum nearly halved in comparison   response, supporters of independence – Kanak and non-Kanak
        to previous votes in November 2018 and October 2020. A   – stayed at home, worked in their gardens, went to church or
        coalition of independence parties had called for “non-partici-  went fishing. Participation in this poll nearly halved compared
        pation” in the vote, and the unified, peaceful and disciplined   to last year, from 85.69% in October 2020 to 43.9% on 12
        boycott by independence supporters creates a significant   December.
        problem for France.                                   Based on this, the CSI-NP rejected the credibility of the
          In a special broadcast on the night of the referendum,   vote in a statement: “Independence forces grouped under
        French President Emmanuel Macron said: “Tonight, France   the banner of the CSI-NP do not recognise the legitimacy and
        is more beautiful because New Caledonia has decided to   validity of this ballot, which was stolen from them. This ref-
        stay.” But while anti-independence leaders have triumphantly   erendum is not in accordance with the spirit and the letter of
        welcomed the result, the outcome of the third and final   the Noumea Accord, a process of decolonisation. It also fails
        referendum under the 1998 Noumea Accord is not the end of   to comply with United Nations resolutions that include New
        the story.                                          Caledonia on the list of non-self-governing territories.”
          The size and strength of the “nonparticipation” movement   Alongside the four member parties of the FLNKS, the CSI-NP
        has encouraged the leaders of the independence movement   includes the smaller coalition Mouvement nationaliste pour
        Front de Libération Nationale Kanak and Socialiste (FLNKS)   la souveraineté de Kanaky (MNSK), the left wing Parti Travail-
        and their quest for independence is undiminished. In coalition   liste (PT) and Dynamique Unitaire Sud (DUS). The trade union
        with other pro-independence parties and trade unions, the   confederations Union Syndicale des Travailleurs Kanak et
        FLNKS will now wait for the election of a new French govern-  Exploités (USTKE) and Confédération Nationale des Travail-



                                                                                           Islands Business, December 2021  21
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