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Climate Change                                                                      Climate Change


        entitled “Te Mana o Te Moana”. The report, introduced by the   the OECD uses to define climate finance.
        former Prime Minister of Tuvalu, the Hon Enele Sopoaga, high-  The lack of climate change funding was highlighted in a
        lights the critically insufficient Nationally Determined Contri-  statement made by the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS)
        butions presented by the world’s highest polluters. Neverthe-  at this year’s G20 meeting. AOSIS noted that the International
        less, that report goes on to say that six of the world’s top 15   Monetary Fund had stated in 2017 that the unfunded cost of
        highest emitting countries have now proposed or submitted   climate change is well over USD$4 trillion. It is clear to see
        stronger emissions reductions targets, including China, the US   that there is a major shortfall in climate change finance, even
        and the EU: three of the top four emitters. Unfortunately, the   if the promised $100 billion had been met. AOSIS went on to
        report also notes that a further six top emitting nations have   state that the value of the coal, oil, and gas industry is not
        submitted targets that either do not increase their ambition   worth the losses we are seeing globally. This does not make
        or that decrease it in real terms; namely Russia, Indonesia,   economic sense but demonstrates that the politics of the fos-
        Brazil, Mexico, South Korea, and Australia. It is clear from the   sil fuel industry seems to be far more important than the rest
        report that much more needs to be done.             of the global economy and its people.
                                                              Representation at COP 26 is a major concern for the Pacific.
         Expectations for COP 26                            The Ministers also discussed this with President designate
         Pacific Island Ministers recently met with the President des-  Sharma. Due to COVID travel restrictions and quarantine
        ignate Alok Sharma of the next UN climate change conference   requirements it seems highly unlikely that many Pacific Island
        (COP 26) to be held in Glasgow in November. Due to COVID   countries will make it to Glasgow and equally uncertain that
        concerns, this was an online meeting. The Ministers empha-  they will get back. This would be a major imbalance in the
        sised the need for emissions to peak by 2025 to ensure that   process if the Pacific was underrepresented. The most vulner-
        Pacific Island countries are protected from the most severe   able need a voice in Glasgow. Pacific Ministers suggested
        effects of climate change.                          that proxies may need to be found for their representation
         Due to the growing concern about the impacts of climate   or remote participation may be required. Remote participa-
        change, the Pacific Ministers emphasised the need for G20   tion may work when Ministers need to give speeches, but the
        countries to commit to higher mitigation targets at COP 26.  nitty-gritty of negotiations need to be handled face to face.
         Pacific Ministers highlighted the need to finish the Paris   At a recent meeting of Pacific Island climate change nego-
        Agreement rulebook. This includes a decision on how to man-  tiators organised by AOSIS and the Secretariat of the Pacific
        age the market mechanisms established in the Paris Agree-  Environment Program, participants expressed their concern
        ment. This is a tricky issue and negotiations fell apart at the   that they wouldn’t be able to attend the COP. Even if the COP
        last minute at the COP in Madrid. Brazil insisted that carbon   went into a hybrid mode of in-person and on-line participa-
        credits generated under the Kyoto Protocol should be carried   tion, the time difference would be an enormous disadvantage
        over into the Paris Agreement. But the Pacific was and con-  for Pacific Island countries. Many negotiations take place in
        tinues to be adamant that this would undermine the targets   the corridors or over a cup of coffee. Virtual meetings don’t
        set under Paris. Creating a carbon market that delivers a real   really cater for this informal part of the process.
        reduction of emissions and not just a transfer of responsibil-  The Pacific has a long reputation of boxing above its weight
        ity is another key issue. In negotiation speak this is known as   in climate change negotiations and Pacific delegations need
        “overall mitigation in global emissions”. Essentially countries   to be in Glasgow. We also need strong representation from
        that trade in the carbon market would need to sacrifice part   Pacific civil society organisations as they are the voice of the
        of the traded units, so that buyers would take a reduced   most vulnerable. How this will happen is certainly not clear.
        amount. The sacrificed units would be withdrawn from the   If we are to see a significant change in the increasing warm-
        accounting system. As a consequence, the atmosphere would   ing of the global climate, and take heed of the IPCC report,
        be better off.                                      we need to take decisive action now. The world cannot afford
         Another key issue mentioned by Pacific Ministers related   the costs of more wildfires, floods, warming oceans, cyclones
        to setting a common time frame for when countries would   and everything else that comes with rising greenhouse gas
        submit their emission reduction goals, their NDCs. Pacific Min-  emissions. Glasgow should be the key point for a dramatic
        isters want a 5-year time frame so that NDCs can be revised   ramping up of effort to reduction greenhouse gas emissions.
        regularly to meet the challenge of increasing concern about   It should be the pivot for the global community to commit
        rising emissions. Other countries, notably Europe and China   to a rapid phase out of the use of fossil fuels. Unfortunately,
        are resistant to this 5-year timetable and prefer a 10-year   without the active participation of the Pacific, the voice of
        period.                                             the most vulnerable will not be heard. Key negotiators and
         Naturally enough, the issue of climate change finance was   civil society organisations will be left at home. The COP may
        another key ask of the Pacific Ministers. The costs of address-  become a Boris Johnson celebration of underachievement.
        ing the impacts of climate change are growing exponentially.
        A USD$100 billion by 2020 climate finance promise made by   Dr Ian Fry is the former Ambassador for Climate Change and
        developed countries in 2010 is yet to be met. Recent OECD   Environment, Tuvalu.
        reports suggest that current pledges are around $60 billion,
        and this figure includes the rather generous estimation that   editor@islandsbusiness.com

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